10 machine learning models analyze every fighter, every matchup, every line. We find the edges the sportsbooks miss—so you can bet with conviction, not gut feeling.
Every tool a sharp bettor needs.
Built by quantitative sports analysts. Powered by machine learning. Designed to give you a measurable edge.
10 ML Models Ensemble
65.8% accuracyXGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, Random Forest, SVM, KNN, Logistic Regression, ELO, Glicko-2, and TrueSkill — combined into a single probability that outperforms any model alone.
Real-Time Odds Comparison
131K+ odds trackedCompare lines across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and more. Instantly find the best available price and never leave money on the table.
Fighter DNA Profiles
4,455 fightersDeep radar charts visualizing striking, grappling, takedowns, defense, cardio, and submission threat. Side-by-side style matchup analysis for every bout.
Kelly Criterion Bet Sizing
Optimal sizingStop guessing wager amounts. Our Kelly calculator uses model probabilities and current odds to compute mathematically optimal sizes for every pick.
Walk-Forward Backtesting
+57% ROIEvery edge validated across 8,572 fights since 1994 with real historical odds. Walk-forward methodology prevents lookahead bias and proves real-world performance.
Edge Detection Engine
8 proven edges8 statistically significant edges backtested with verified historical odds. Heatmaps reveal where value concentrates by weight class, method, and market type.
From data to winning bets.
Three steps. Zero guesswork. Our pipeline turns raw fight data into actionable, edge-driven predictions.
We analyze every fighter
Our models ingest 8,572+ fights worth of data — striking accuracy, grappling stats, cardio trends, camp changes, and 140+ features per matchup.
Our models find edges
10 ensemble ML models cross-reference fighter data against real-time odds from every major sportsbook. When the market is wrong, we know.
You bet with confidence
Get clear predictions, optimal bet sizing via Kelly criterion, and validated edges with 28–136% historical ROI. No guesswork — just math.
Predictions you can act on.
Real-time ML predictions, best-available odds, and detected edges for every UFC event.
When we say 70%,
it happens 70% of the time.
Our models are rigorously calibrated. Predicted probabilities match real-world outcomes.
What bettors are saying
Real feedback from real users
“I was manually comparing odds across 4 sportsbooks. BoutMetrics does it in real time and catches edges I never would have found on my own.”
“The Kelly sizing alone paid for the subscription. I was massively over-betting underdogs and didn't even realize it until I saw the model's recommended sizes.”
“Finally, a UFC analytics tool that doesn't just throw numbers at you. The edge detection is genuinely useful and the accuracy has been solid across 4 events I've tracked.”
“The walk-forward backtest is what sold me. No other UFC prediction site shows you verified performance on out-of-sample data with real odds.”
Backtested across 8,572 fights since 1994.
Verified with real historical odds from 131K+ records.
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Free
Explore the platform and see what's possible
- 3 predictions per card
- Basic odds comparison (2 books)
- Fighter stats & records
- Community access
- Edge detection
- Kelly criterion sizing
- API access
- Backtest playground
Pro
For serious bettors who want a real edge
- Full card predictions
- 5 AI models ensemble
- Cross-sportsbook odds (6 books)
- Edge detection & alerts
- Kelly criterion sizing
- Fighter radar charts & ELO
- API access (1K req/day)
- Backtest playground
Elite
Maximum edge — every tool, every model, every advantage
- Full card predictions
- All 10 AI models ensemble
- Cross-sportsbook odds (6 books)
- Edge detection & push alerts
- Kelly criterion sizing
- Fighter radar charts & ELO
- API access (5K req/day)
- Backtest playground